Which form of government is more popular

Survey shows government stability

Vienna / Linz - One year after the formation of the government, both the Chancellor Party ÖVP and its chairman Sebastian Kurz are way ahead in all surveys: "I don't find the Chancellor and Sunday question very exciting," sighs political researcher Peter Hajek.

And David Pfarrhofer, who regularly surveys the general political weather situation for the STANDARD with the Linz Market Institute, suggests the same notion: "If there were elections to the National Council, the ÖVP would be clear with about 34 percent, ahead of the SPÖ with about 27 percent and the FPÖ About 24 percent gain. Compared to the National Council election last autumn, that would mean: The ÖVP gains easily, the FPÖ loses very easily. And the SPÖ does not have a trace. Sounds boring - but you always have to seriously say that it is there is no campaign situation in which there could be significant changes. "

One more thing to add: Hardly anyone wants such an election campaign situation.

the STANDARD also raised the following: "The next date for the National Council elections is scheduled for autumn 2022. What do you think: Should the current coalition continue to work until autumn 2022, or should it be re-elected earlier?"

Coalition should continue to work

56 percent of the 805 respondents - selected as a representative of the Austrian eligible voters - said that the current government should continue to work until the end of the legislative period.

As expected, supporters of the Chancellor's party ÖVP are most in favor of this with 95 percent. But also the declared voters of the small coalition partner FPÖ are clear with 83 percent for a continuation of the coalition,

Even among declared social democrats, 28 percent are in favor of the government being able to continue as it has up to now. However, two thirds of the SPÖ voters are in favor of new elections. In the general population, those in favor of a new election are clearly in the minority at 32 percent. What is striking, however, is that young voters under 30, residents of state capitals and even more Viennese tend to want early elections. In this group, approval is over 40 percent.

Government meets expectations

So is the coalition essentially doing what is expected of it? the STANDARD also had this collected by the Market Institute. The question was: "For about a year the ÖVP and FPÖ have been working together at the federal level in one government; has the ÖVP and FPÖ government met your expectations or not?"

14 percent of the respondents said that their expectations were "definitely met", a further 36 percent described their expectations as "more or less met". Makes 50 percent - and corresponds to the result that Peter Hajek collected and published at the same time for the Austria Barometer by ATV: For a similar question (Hajek asked about the satisfaction with the work of the government) it came out that 47 percent of the Hajek respondents are completely or mostly satisfied with the government.

Loyal free voters

Both the satisfaction raised by Hajek and the fulfillment of expectations raised by Market are particularly emphasized by supporters of the ÖVP and the FPÖ. What is striking in both surveys is how loyal the FPÖ voters are to the government - a clear difference to the FPÖ voters with whom the black-blue coalition of Wolfgang Schüssel and his blue Vice Chancellor Susanne Riess-Passer in their reign at the beginning of the faced last decade.

And that although the FPÖ was stabilized but not strengthened by the government participation: In the autumn of the previous year, the Freedom Party came to 26 percent, in the current market extrapolation they are 24 percent; Hajek only sees freedom at 22 percent. That was the brand where the FPÖ functionaries became unfaithful in 2002 and started the fatal path to Knittelfeld: At a meeting in the Upper Styrian industrial city in August 2002, they terminated their allegiance to the party leadership and thus initiated the largest liberal election debacle in history a. Apparently nobody in the blue camp wants to repeat that.

The SPÖ is also stable

With the SPÖ, on the other hand, you can be relaxed: The survey results are not intoxicating (the average grade 3.71 is slightly worse than the 3.6 she had under Christian Kern in May 2017), party chairman Pamela Rendi-Wagner achieved in the chancellor question but 26 percent - as much as Kern as party leader and chancellor in spring 2017. (Conrad Seidl, December 15, 2018)